Global Small Cap Fund Commentary
Fund Commentary - September 30, 2011
The S&P Developed SmallCap Index fell in the third
quarter as a result of the growing Euro crisis and concerns about
weaker economic growth around the globe. The Euro crisis was
compounded by a mix of sovereign debt concerns, bank funding
problems, and a hesitant response by European policy makers. During
the quarter, sovereign debt concerns spread from Greece itself to
the bond markets of Italy and Spain, prompting the European Central
Bank to intervene which helped stabilize those markets. Both Italy
and Spain adopted additional fiscal tightening measures. As
sovereign spreads rose, banks in the affected countries found their
cost of funding rising in tandem, while access to short-term U.S.
dollar funding also dried up. In early October, policy makers
appeared to show more resolution to address both sovereign
concerns, as well as any possible shortfalls in bank capital.
This financial crisis came against the background of growing fears
of a renewed global economic downturn. Commodity prices fell
sharply as employment data and business survey data came in weaker
than expected. However, the economic data remained mixed overall,
and it was by no means certain that an actual downturn, as opposed
to a growth pause, was the most likely outcome.
During the quarter, the Portfolio Sub-Advisor increased the Fund's
exposure in Health Care and Financials, while exposure decreased in
Consumer Discretionary and Industrials. Within Health Care, the
Portfolio Sub-Advisor added Patterson Companies Inc., a dental
products distributor and Vectura Group plc, a developer of
respiratory disease therapies. In Financials, the Portfolio
Sub-Advisor added to existing positions in Scor SE, Everest Re
Group Ltd. and Hiscox Ltd. Within Consumer Discretionary, the
Portfolio Sub-Advisor trimmed a position in home builder Persimmon
plc. Lastly, within Industrials, staffing services provider
Randstad Holding NV was reduced and Owens Corning, a leading
building materials producer, and Huntington Ingalls Industries
Inc., a military shipbuilder, were sold.
From a sector perspective, Financials and Materials had the
strongest positive impact on a relative basis. Strong security
selection in Financials was mainly due to Lancashire Holdings Ltd.
A contributor during the second quarter as well, Lancashire was one
of only a few financial stocks globally to rise in value during the
third quarter. Quarterly results beat expectations partly due to
limited exposure to the major natural catastrophes of 2011. Within
Industrials, the Portfolio Sub-Advisor's underweight, coupled with
good stock selection, contributed to relative performance.
Outperformance was largely due to the Portfolio Sub-Advisor's
position in Anvil Mining Ltd. Anvil is a junior development company
that has expanded production and exploration of copper and silver
while trading at very low multiples. The company's largest
shareholder, Trafigura, initiated a strategic review with an aim to
sell its stake. Late in the quarter, Minmetals Resources Ltd.
announced a takeover offer at a 39% premium relative to the stock's
previous closing price.
Health Care holding Pharmaceutical Product Development Inc. (PPDI),
a global contract research organization focused on drug discovery,
rose significantly as the company announced they were in the
process of completing a strategic review, including the possible
sale of the company. The stock appreciated materially on this news,
prompting us to sell some of our position into the strength.
Mueller Industries Inc., a manufacturer of plumbing, HVAC,
refrigeration and industrial products, was a top contributor to the
Portfolio. Higher copper prices have supported increased selling
prices, leading to solid top-line performance. In addition,
financial conglomerate Leucadia National Corp. has been
aggressively buying shares of the company. We used the run up in
the stock on these events as an opportunity to pare back our
position.
Geographically, the strongest relative contributions came from our
underweight and strong stock selection in the United States, as
well as strong stock selection in Canada. During the third quarter
of 2011, detractors were primarily attributed to Industrials,
Consumer Discretionary, and Energy. Underperformance within
Industrials was largely driven by the Fund's exposure to
professional staffing companies. Staffing companies have continued
to come under pressure as concerns over a potential recession
increases. The Dutch market, which has lagged in recovery relative
to other European markets, has particularly impacted the Fund's
positions in USG People NV and Randstad. The Portfolio Sub-Advisor
believes there is substantial upside in both stocks over the cycle
with limited downside from current levels.
Consumer Discretionary underperformance was largely due to
positions in Pandora A/S, Kloeckner & Co. SE and Emperor Watch
& Jewellery Ltd. Lastly within Consumer Discretionary, Emperor
Watch & Jewellery detracted from overall performance. The only
Hong Kong listed luxury watch retailer with a sizable jewelry
business, Emperor Watch significantly improved margins during the
first half of the year due to price hikes and increasing
contribution from its higher-margin jewellery segment. The company
has increased its overall store count by adding 18 stores this year
in China, with plans to add 2 additional stores before the end of
the year. The stock sold off late in the third quarter on concerns
of a hard landing in China. However, the Portfolio Sub-Advisor has
yet to witness any substantial evidence of this effect.
It is the Portfolio Sub-Advisor goal to navigate this marketplace
through wise stock selection that exploits company-specific
opportunities as opposed to investing in companies that are more
heavily dependent on a particular direction of the global economy.
The Portfolio Sub-Advisor continues to have an intense focus on
strong balance sheets that provide both protection and opportunity.
The opportunity for many companies will come from finding ways to
grow their earning power now that most management teams have
exhausted the benefits available to them through cost cutting. The
Portfolio Sub-Advisor believes the Fund should be rewarded very
well over time however, for the moment, the environment calls for
tightening seat belts, clenching your teeth and bearing the
volatility. After risk aversion passes, the Portfolio Sub-Advisor
believes equity markets could experience a very strong market
rally.