Money Market Fund Commentary
Portfolio Advisor: Industrial Alliance Investment Management
Inc.
Fund Commentary - June 30, 2011
One year later, the same issues that were making headlines at
this time in 2010 are in the spotlight again: Europe's sovereign
debt troubles, doubts over the economic recovery in the U.S., and
fears of rising inflation. These events, combined with the
after-effects of the earthquake and tsunami in Japan, and continued
political turmoil in the Middle East made the first half of 2011
difficult for the stock market. This resulted in slower growth in
Canada and elsewhere in the world.
The Canadian economy must juggle with several opposing winds
such as a high dollar, heavy consumer debt, the end of stimulus
programs, a more restrictive federal budget, and a primary economic
partner that is dealing with its own difficulties.
The last interest rate hike by the Bank of Canada was in
September 2010. The latest inflation data showed that inflation has
exceeded the 3% upper limit of the target range. The Portfolio
Advisor might have expected an interest rate hike in the months to
come, but the latest economic statistics from several regions have
been rather anaemic. Thus, the Bank of Canada may wait until the
situation returns to normal and push its next interest rate
increase to the end of 2011 or early 2012. In the U.S., the Federal
Reserve has maintained its position, indicating that it will keep
its key rate stable until the economy improves.
The Fund underperformed its benchmark index during the first
half of the year. The Canadian yield curve moved slightly lower as
investors continued to doubt the sustainability of global economic
recovery. Canadian government bond yields rose, for the most part,
until mid-April of this year and subsequently dropped over the next
two months. The Portfolio Advisor expects the Bank of Canada will
now keep interest rates on hold in the near future as it waits to
see how Canada's economy rebuilds itself in the coming months.
At the end of the period, the Fund primarily held Treasury
bills. The Portfolio Advisor continues to focus on
high-quality issuers and maintaining a high degree of liquidity in
the Fund. With the main investment objective of the Fund focused on
capital preservation and liquidity, the Portfolio Advisor is not
taking any unnecessary credit risk in the selection of
securities.
The Portfolio Manager is currently waiving a portion of the
management fees and absorbing expenses of the Fund in order to
ensure that the fees and expenses of the Fund do not exceed the
yield on the Portfolio. The Portfolio Manager may change the level
of absorption, and waiver of fees and expenses from time to time in
response to changing market conditions.