Dividend Growth Class Commentary
Portfolio Advisor: Industrial Alliance Investment Management
Inc.
Fund Commentary - April, 2012
During the
first quarter of 2012, the world economic recovery continued to
firm up its grip, having a positive effect on stock markets
worldwide. Sound familiar? It should, as this was the introductory
sentence to our March 31, 2011 issue! The fear of going through
another downturn following a bullish first quarter, as we saw in
2011, is not unfounded. The European sovereign debt crisis
continues to pose a significant risk to the world economy. Though
it's true that a Greek default was narrowly avoided, we cannot say
that everything is "back to normal." Greek authorities kept us
holding our breath until the very last minute as to whether they
would reach an agreement with their creditors on restructuring
their debt.
On the
other hand, the start of 2012 also presents a few major differences
from 2011. While U.S. economic data is showing a recovery still in
its embryonic stages, the data is much stronger than one year ago.
The first quarter of the year offered economic data that was better
than expected, especially in terms of employment. In addition,
demand for oil is decreasing (in part) as Americans renew their
automobile fleet by replacing old cars with more energy-efficient
models. The threat of high prices at the pump will certainly have
an impact on economic growth south of the border, but this threat
was much greater one year ago.
The Fund
invests in mostly large, well-known Canadian companies that offer
regular and rising dividends. The Fund had a positive first
quarter. Being underweight Materials was the primary reason for
this as this sector was a main detractor. Good stock picking in
Financials also contributed positively for the Fund in the first
quarter. Notable names were National Bank, RBC, Great-West and Sun
Life.
During the
quarter, the Portfolio Advisor completed the addition of Crescent
Point Energy to the Fund. This was funded by selling the Imperial
Oil position. This transaction maintains the same exposure in
Energy, however, the Portfolio Advisor picked up almost 5% in yield
versus the Imperial Oil dividend.
The market volatility experienced through much of last
year continues with a fast positive start to the year and a rapid
turnaround before the end of the quarter. The Portfolio Advisor's
strategy is to keep trading cautiously.