Monthly Income Class Commentary

Portfolio Advisor: Industrial Alliance Investment Management Inc.

Fund Commentary - December 31, 2012

Supported by the interventions of central banks globally to restore economic growth, the majority of equity markets had a good year in 2012. Investors gradually regained confidence in the second half of last year, as several central banks adopted anticipated measures to help stimulate the global economy.
Canadian equity markets, represented by  S&P/TSX Composite Index, underperformed their global counterparts, mostly due to setbacks in both the Energy (-0.6%) and Materials sectors (-5.7%), both of which are strongly represented in the Canadian index with a combined weight of nearly 45%. These two cyclical sectors particularly suffered from the decline in value of commodities. The U.S. stock market, represented by the S&P 500 Index, had a total return of 13.5%.  All sectors recorded positive returns with eight of the 10 sectors appreciating by more than 10%. Outside of North America, most stock exchanges have seen significant progress despite the ongoing situation in Europe.  The MSCI World Index and MSCI Emerging Markets Index had respective returns of 13.3% and 16.0%.

The Canadian bond market represented by the DEX Universe Bond Index returned 3.6% in 2012.  Despite an ongoing environment of extremely low interest rates, yields continued to decline and longer-term bonds offered the greatest appreciation (+ 5.2%). Medium-term and short-term bonds generated returns of 4.7% and 2.0% respectively. High demand for Canadian bonds by foreign investors has helped raise prices and further reduce yields. 

The Fund invests across all asset classes including fixed income, Canadian equity and foreign equity funds. The Fund's return is primarily determined by the mix and performance of the underlying funds. The IA Clarington Bond Fund, the largest fund weighting of the fixed income component, had a significant underweight in federal government bonds and an overweight in corporate bonds which was beneficial to the Fund's overall performance.  The IA Clarington Tactical Bond Fund's performance can be attributed in large part to its exposure to corporate bonds.

Canadian equity funds also contributed positively to the Fund's performance. IA Clarington Canadian Conservative Equity Fund continues to focus on providing downside protection continues with its investments in high quality, dividend paying stocks and defensive sector allocation. The IA Clarington Dividend Growth Fund's underweight in the Materials sector and the overweight in the Financials sector were contributing factors to performance.The IA Clarington Strategic Equity Income Fund's considerable underweight in the Energy and the Materials sectors was beneficial to performance.  The overweight positions in the Consumer Discretionary and in the Industrials sector also contributed positively.

The Fund's foreign equity component had a mixed year. The IA Clarington Global Dividend Fund's largest detractor to performance was stock selection in the U.S. Industrials sector.

As we've experienced over the last few years, a spike in debt fears tends to result in increased volatility in the equity markets.  Reigning in government debt throughout much of the developed world will continue to characterize the economic backdrop in 2013.  Markets rose in the fourth quarter but at a more moderate pace due to concerns surrounding the U.S. fiscal cliff.  As we enter 2013, it appears that this concern has been alleviated for the time being.  With respect to the global economic context, the Portfolio Advisor expects that it could be similar to that of 2012, moderate economic growth and a sustained low interest rate environment.